NBA · resolved market
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81e2acd170306db5cfedc7163c07fdc3987a24fd0b503b755ae4fb0a5fed5800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 59c | 688.46$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 41c | 369.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 43c | 225.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Yes | 57c | 213.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 42c | 200.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 46c | 75.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 55c | 71.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Yes | 58c | 58.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 43c | 56.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Yes | 59c | 56.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 284 | 55.3%157 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes | 59c | 55.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 45c | 53.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…dfbebacked Yes | 57c | 51.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes | 56c | 45.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…346fbacked Yes | 73c | 40.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 44c | 36.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…719abacked Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 44c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 47c | 31.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 45c | 29.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 45c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 57c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 57c | 25.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Yes | 67c | 24.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…ea1bbacked No | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 210.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.