TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,042,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,010,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked 76ers50c292,734$145,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,590.734957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics52c245,722$126,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,801.7442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers47c189,316$89,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,165.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.91,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics51c98,823$50,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,418.0136549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked 76ers47c89,359$41,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,360.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics53c38,872$20,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,602.1620758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Celtics53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9008763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics50c24,250$12,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,12510949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed 76ers47c24,000$11,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,719.9315952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers48c23,417$11,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,178.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics53c21,900$11,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,60759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0a…dda0backed Celtics67c20,998$14,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,068.811136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers47c19,643$9,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4411,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers48c19,423$9,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,118.8863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers48c19,389$9,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,082.81,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers46c17,152$7,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,227.161,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics52c15,374$7,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,994.6487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics13c14,937$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked 76ers48c14,590$7,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,586.875347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers49c12,824$6,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,540.3429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Celtics53c12,285$6,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,511.0614556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Celtics53c11,660$6,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.6210645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers48c11,538$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.971,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked 76ers47c10,053$4,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,327.8620946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics49c9,651$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,761.0685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Celtics53c9,168$4,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8595561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers47c8,009$3,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,245.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed 76ers48c7,624$3,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.3512240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed 76ers46c7,369$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,979.4732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Celtics53c7,172$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.148352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Celtics54c7,114$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.5893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers33c6,606$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Celtics54c6,176$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.17852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Celtics54c6,003$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.4814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Celtics51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers48c5,113$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Celtics51c5,000$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.9719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers47c4,675$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.9927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Celtics52c4,327$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.2535650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed 76ers48c4,037$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.071,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers48c3,875$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.179549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Celtics50c3,845$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.5617247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…438cbacked Celtics51c3,806$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.28744.8%39 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed 76ers50c3,750$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Celtics50c3,583$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.4712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Celtics53c3,581$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.7726444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Celtics52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82030448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Celtics51c3,473$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.1720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d6…b6e8backed Celtics51c3,333$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Celtics52c3,268$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.66058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics1c3,069$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.691,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed 76ers51c2,960$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.771,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked 76ers48c2,910$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.437245.8%33 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed 76ers48c2,906$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.3356453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Celtics52c2,900$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5088447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7305…1cb7backed Celtics52c2,860$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.891827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed 76ers51c2,855$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.816240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed 76ers48c2,809$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.675345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed 76ers48c2,624$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.395635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics50c2,553$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.61,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Celtics53c2,235$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.622152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed 76ers33c2,213$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb579…d7d0backed Celtics52c2,128$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Celtics53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06027246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Celtics52c1,942$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.057143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked 76ers51c1,941$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.196266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Celtics50c1,918$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.866259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Celtics52c1,868$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdf7…bf20backed Celtics53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.8955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Celtics53c1,775$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.8214959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Celtics56c1,733$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.229357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed 76ers51c1,698$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.825341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked 76ers48c1,689$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.0931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Celtics8c1,597$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7527937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Celtics49c1,593$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.436556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5f…1070backed Celtics51c1,587$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Celtics49c1,581$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.4729055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics51c1,555$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.0576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Celtics45c1,555$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics50c1,552$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Celtics53c1,546$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.2418839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked 76ers48c1,543$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.412257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b07…98a7backed Celtics52c1,521$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.013452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Celtics52c1,508$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.9870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked 76ers49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.944445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics49c1,458$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Celtics42c1,451$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.617553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed Celtics54c1,432$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.061540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Celtics53c1,375$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.8516050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers49c1,333$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.941,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked 76ers49c1,302$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.943453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Celtics53c1,284$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2621957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Celtics51c1,256$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.616060%36 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers48c1,244$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.641,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 76ers47c1,235$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5356043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Celtics53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6364841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Celtics49c1,197$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.6349249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.