NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b0e3f766797033896211bba51a9e9419c83a79deda47e26e0627e90adf9faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 20c | 800.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Celtics | 80c | 755.79$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed 76ers | 19c | 473.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Celtics | 79c | 372.85$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.3 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Celtics | 79c | 311.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked 76ers | 32c | 244.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed 76ers | 22c | 196.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 14c | 150.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed 76ers | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed 76ers | 22c | 144.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics | 40c | 124.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed 76ers | 18c | 114.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 76ers | 20c | 109.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed 76ers | 51c | 105.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Celtics | 77c | 101.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed 76ers | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked 76ers | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed 76ers | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Celtics | 56c | 84.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Celtics | 72c | 75.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked 76ers | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Celtics | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed 76ers | 43c | 47.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed 76ers | 43c | 47.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…4c9fbacked 76ers | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked 76ers | 39c | 46.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Celtics | 47c | 39.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Celtics | 63c | 30.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Celtics | 80c | 25.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Celtics | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 210.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.