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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$870,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$869,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $870,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked 76ers53c363,085$192,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170,650.0220545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics47c351,573$165,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165,156.8987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics47c103,000$48,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,41036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers53c88,391$46,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,543.8566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe14…11eebacked Celtics47c75,132$35,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,312.19955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers50c69,496$34,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,748.121,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers52c58,442$30,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,127.941,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers53c38,000$20,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,86027747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Celtics46c27,457$12,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,631.528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed 76ers53c24,295$12,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,418.6520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed 76ers54c19,448$10,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,946.083447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked 76ers53c16,943$9,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,892.2517055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics48c14,762$7,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,085.91,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Celtics49c14,091$6,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,869.1212450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe099…0574backed Celtics50c13,821$6,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,910.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics47c13,381$6,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,353.562,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Celtics44c12,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9244337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Celtics50c11,522$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.832842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers52c10,179$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,864.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 76ers55c9,727$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,425.7748845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c64…95e4backed Celtics50c9,700$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Celtics50c8,218$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.1193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Celtics50c7,760$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8803941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked 76ers54c7,682$4,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.712056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers52c7,499$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.3166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Celtics46c7,405$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.238038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics48c7,381$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.941,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Celtics48c5,955$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.2132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Celtics48c5,955$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.2190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Celtics46c5,920$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.0635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83bd…bdbfbacked Celtics46c5,796$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked 76ers53c5,500$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5851,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Celtics50c5,216$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,608.1814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed 76ers51c4,849$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.8429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed 76ers51c4,602$2,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.9318349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers57c4,546$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,951.211,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Celtics47c4,446$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.6110451%53 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Celtics48c4,017$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.999651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Celtics49c3,957$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.814251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Celtics50c3,937$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.714946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked 76ers51c3,806$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.074951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Celtics49c3,778$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.1870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6281…f5cfbacked Celtics50c3,517$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Celtics49c3,300$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.7214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Celtics49c2,975$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.2718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed Celtics50c2,856$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.921338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90d9…56c4backed Celtics48c2,725$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.883571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics48c2,205$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.361,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Celtics65c2,192$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.449357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed 76ers53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9403953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Celtics48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9422039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed 76ers54c1,993$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.975341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x448a…d303backed 76ers58c1,936$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked 76ers52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Celtics50c1,866$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.617143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed 76ers54c1,801$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.343231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers35c1,787$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.852,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers51c1,649$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked 76ers51c1,553$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics48c1,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Celtics49c1,454$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5132150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Celtics50c1,436$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.1412646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers51c1,380$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.1862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Celtics48c1,212$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.2829040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked 76ers53c1,192$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.163554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Celtics50c1,183$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Celtics48c1,172$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.554045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed 76ers53c1,111$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.247452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Celtics48c1,106$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8720051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Celtics48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked 76ers54c1,083$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.1445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed 76ers54c1,070$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.0311153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Celtics48c1,066$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked 76ers54c1,054$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8810645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Celtics10c1,017$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed 76ers52c1,003$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.2544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Celtics50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked 76ers51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Celtics49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Celtics47c945.38$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.333842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked 76ers52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.257054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Celtics50c911.27$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2327645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed 76ers54c898.91$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6827158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Celtics50c875.19$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.612240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Celtics50c873.39$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.695839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics48c819.86$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.539,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Celtics48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3847156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7621152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked 76ers54c790.08$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…8210backed Celtics47c774.56$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.041450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a7…48febacked Celtics50c741.08$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 76ers51c696.76$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.4156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed 76ers57c656.32$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.353767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Celtics47c648.9$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.985743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked 76ers53c612.19$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7327450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed 76ers55c570.18$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.582,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.