TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,507 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers60c814.28$489 inWon+$325.0893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers54c668.94$358 inWon+$310.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Celtics11c516.33$57 inLost-$56.852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb7…d613backed 76ers59c509.8$302 inWon+$208.222466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe11c…24efbacked 76ers66c448.66$296 inWon+$152.545655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Celtics47c414.1$194 inLost-$193.6114549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Celtics47c412.02$194 inLost-$193.642763%17 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Celtics34c408$139 inLost-$138.7232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics39c379.58$148 inLost-$148.041,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics46c273.45$126 inLost-$125.7936248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Celtics45c269.63$121 inLost-$120.7587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed 76ers57c257.19$146 inWon+$111.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics23c255.82$58 inLost-$57.741,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics12c240.6$29 inLost-$28.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics43c204.32$87 inLost-$87.4289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics40c200$80 inLost-$802,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…311fbacked Celtics46c193.52$89 inLost-$89.024639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked 76ers75c130.51$99 inWon+$31.9827163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Celtics48c130.37$63 inLost-$62.985259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers56c105.84$59 inWon+$46.451,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Celtics45c100$45 inLost-$4549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked 76ers53c97.18$52 inWon+$45.6712434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Celtics49c88.95$44 inLost-$43.633938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed 76ers56c86.47$49 inWon+$37.7811250%56 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…a1f1backed 76ers56c78.16$44 inWon+$34.347536%27 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Celtics20c65.79$13 inLost-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed 76ers60c42.94$26 inWon+$17.2318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc11e…eb97backed Celtics47c41.2$19 inLost-$19.364045%18 W · 22 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Celtics47c40.26$19 inLost-$18.9210357.3%59 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Celtics39c37.05$14 inLost-$14.452857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed 76ers53c30$16 inWon+$14.133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7319…1a56backed 76ers58c20.17$12 inWon+$8.471764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f47…f611backed 76ers53c19.44$10 inWon+$9.136344.4%28 W · 35 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.