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NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over51c23,550$12,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,008.8715545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over55c22,763$12,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,519.5187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under44c22,326$9,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,502.4824650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under49c20,067$9,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,234.2825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over50c18,881$9,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,440.526045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under46c12,019$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,490.411,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c8,749$4,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,760.892,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under50c8,674$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,337.087852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…a1c5backed Over52c7,475$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under46c7,173$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.311,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over54c6,619$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.364860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Under47c6,055$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.749861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over56c5,752$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.1932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c5,737$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.5190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over56c5,689$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.9863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c5,646$2,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over56c5,431$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.361,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c5,132$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.5793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c5,109$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c4,971$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.363,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9b…897ebacked Under46c4,588$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,477.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under42c4,140$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.091,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over56c3,908$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.521520%3 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-71.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c3,724$1,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.52,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under36c3,124$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c3,000$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under45c2,972$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.4222643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Under37c2,500$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.574037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf642…7353backed Under46c2,460$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.761723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over65c2,369$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.916764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under20c2,165$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.6910239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under46c2,104$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.922259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over55c1,946$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under45c1,884$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.4217052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under49c1,806$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.935850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over54c1,791$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.582433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,723$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c1,653$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c1,515$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.661,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under53c1,483$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over54c1,454$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.2317047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under45c1,354$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.22,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under45c1,295$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.2616743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,291$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.341,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c1,277$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.7537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c1,277$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.078,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c1,265$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over48c1,264$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.6812240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Under49c1,177$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.1812058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c1,105$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.632,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over53c910.74$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over71c908.1$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.242,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Under53c785.69$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2717147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under46c760.08$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c758.26$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c736.15$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7143348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under46c715.18$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.4441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e23…a1ebbacked Over56c689.22$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.532733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under42c674.57$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.221443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over55c669$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9522349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under46c662.39$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.694751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under37c635.91$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Under50c628.56$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.287143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over53c627.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.821,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Under47c626.76$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1812257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c625.65$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c623.42$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c610.43$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3317…ab0cbacked Over53c606.28$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Over53c601.55$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.238248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over49c593.21$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under52c574.43$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.732254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over10c567.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7652230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over65c560.64$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under38c533.9$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.161,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under20c527.22$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c504.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27011437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c499.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over65c455.24$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.910457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c438.19$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over32c403.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f0…b3f1backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+92.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under45c399.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2256043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed Under48c393.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.682475%18 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c71…3414backed Over48c384.46$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.063342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over54c377.69$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.956053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c377.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Over55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.62560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c347.92$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.991,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c345.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over70c344.42$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5911873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Over54c342.12$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.751560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over61c321.89$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.366647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under48c306.61$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0420946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.