TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95ac…3f7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,270.29
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,464.87
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$9,348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$3,588.51
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.52
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,614Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,613.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,589.55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,045Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$3,248.42
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,210.45
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$4,517.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,364.14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,896.69
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.24
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,725.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$382.82
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$349.98
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.52
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.34
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.48
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,254.07
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$108.58
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.97
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,618.37
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,098
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$180.93
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$256.2
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$182.32
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$455.01
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.47
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.33
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.96
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$144.04
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,590
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$492.16
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.18
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.76
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.7
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$379.99
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.93
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$69.48
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$519.97
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,379.99
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$56.3
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$640.83
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.06
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed RC Celta de Vigo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$91.07
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,752.55
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$559.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.34
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$209.99
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$479.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.26
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$725.35
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$551.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+245.8%+$8,659.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$390.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.