TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes29c33,014$9,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5742240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c10,025$7,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.4568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No73c9,683$7,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.537248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7404971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No71c4,816$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.656165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes1c4,144$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.444245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3188…870bbacked Yes1c3,095$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c3,027$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.5213517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8705862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked No72c1,750$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Yes7c1,742$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.511952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c1,676$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes8c1,522$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2906369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No73c983.8$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.633773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes27c850$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+68.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1c8…0cecbacked Yes12c805.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2325367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2326070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes27c798.33$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes11c774.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.19911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No73c706.76$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.83977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+75.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes15c675.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed No73c659.01$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No71c627$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes27c584$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6814258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No72c541.17$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7319952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1458360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1456861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1455867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No73c477.98$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0513839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes6c437.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.531118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No71c395.22$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6122551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.746822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874866.7%32 W · 16 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes27c288.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.072030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Yes5c282.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No72c275.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.811883.3%15 W · 3 L+5.6wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+74.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No73c246.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9815050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed Yes19c219.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes11c215.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6613553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Yes28c197.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.421266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+73%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No74c196.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.194955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.871250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf99c…dd3abacked Yes30c160.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c160$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.510549.5%52 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.515459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes12c127.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1915635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed No69c119.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.191833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No72c109.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5915755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes10c105.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0312350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes29c103.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No72c100.15$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc6…20dcbacked Yes19c84.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c80.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.85160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No80c75.94$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3311964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No72c71.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.114651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes27c67.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b8…23d2backed Yes31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.171145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+91.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes26c57.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.94751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed No73c56.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes30c52.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9221054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c50.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.518459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c49.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81c9…4a47backed Yes28c44.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes29c39.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3915844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c38.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0765254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No65c28.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No71c27.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9310358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.654472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c25.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No71c20.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.063571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No71c20.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed No72c19.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.511989.5%17 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No72c16.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.557862.8%49 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed No69c14.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.