Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360c2c4b6e6e406380c9207dd346c2b6ae4aaed61987cb2011a9f43a6257c2b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 30c | 6,370$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 70c | 5,103$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.75 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 30c | 4,772$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 70c | 3,944$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.2 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 2,049$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.3 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,585$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,487$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 70c | 1,463$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 1,402$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.56 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 7c | 1,393$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,348$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 69c | 512.09$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 30c | 479$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 23c | 416.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 9c | 392.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Yes | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 198.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 70c | 193.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 179.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 70c | 178.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2527…f09cbacked No | 79c | 150.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…f8d2backed Yes | 23c | 147.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Yes | 12c | 116.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 105.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 78c | 100.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 99.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 70c | 91.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 57.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 30c | 57.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 71c | 56.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 53.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 70c | 44.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 78c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 70c | 27.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 71c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 79c | 20.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 18.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed No | 70c | 18.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.