TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed No55c12,309$6,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,769.735752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No56c11,648$6,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,523.123641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes45c10,741$4,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,907.796360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c7,219$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.5298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No5c7,211$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.18342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c7,165$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.981,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c6,298$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No24c5,153$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.4841144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes47c4,836$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes55c4,710$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.2213839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c4,094$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.8768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No56c3,291$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.6341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c3,043$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.9733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes68c2,938$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes44c2,899$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.5524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No11c2,547$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.994671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No60c1,883$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.955160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No57c1,715$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.098354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Yes44c1,648$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8256950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes69c1,484$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked No58c1,399$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-65.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No55c1,363$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.656659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c1,152$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7449850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes42c1,067$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.13348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes78c1,039$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes42c903.45$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes46c841.39$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3522237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No56c647.99$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.8714258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes45c613.04$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.176845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes43c589.14$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.811353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No5c582.64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.962540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c505$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa736…e430backed Yes69c504.92$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes70c491$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No56c459.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.587358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No20c447.31$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.530828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No57c410.62$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3215050.7%76 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22436456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed Yes45c399.45$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.74955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No57c393.39$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes40c389.45$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0514752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No57c370.04$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes45c322.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.28933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1686538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c299.88$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.936666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes70c297.27$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4111053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac45…844fbacked Yes69c284.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e3…e438backed No32c282.96$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed No34c282.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No31c268.21$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No57c263.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.349950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f98…147fbacked Yes68c245.65$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No8c240.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.893026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Yes43c225.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1262931%9 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No33c215$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9512350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.193148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes56c212.25$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.379576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed No60c210$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes47c206.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.483852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Yes47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.181822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3960…0975backed No9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes45c193.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.372330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes45c193.4$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3719652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Yes55c186.45$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65f4…5222backed Yes44c175.71$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c171.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8823353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67fc…722bbacked Yes42c170.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes70c161.55$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+136.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes39c161.41$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes44c149.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.482962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0917354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.093754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes70c140.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.434148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf10…70b3backed No32c139.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No59c132.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.251741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Yes53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked No13c123.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No56c121.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.218360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No57c118.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.751947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed Yes42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No60c113$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4323353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes45c112.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.074146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No56c109.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7512357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c108.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.532854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Yes45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+57.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c101$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2527…f09cbacked Yes68c100.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked No58c99.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.861656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec4…1958backed Yes69c99.56$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes51c97.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.713243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c95.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6826241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.