TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2fe…a06a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,754Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$2,746.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$31.28
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.87
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,856.98
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,728.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,267.94
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$39.03
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$5,350.29
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$322
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$3,870
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,918.98
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,567
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.74
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720.19
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,328.31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$2,499.72
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,209.6
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,085.9
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$893
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,470.31
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.09
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,574.86
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,632.21
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.86
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$197.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$195.2
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$134.47
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.02
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,725.87
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$23.81
Will CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$57.33
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.45
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148.89
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.53
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+247.9%+$139.35
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$199.71
Will Academia Puerto Cabello win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$13.2
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$62.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.84
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.62
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.13
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$47.75
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.09
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$71.49
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$67.12
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$414.49
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$407.13
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.81
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$237.67
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.97
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$149.08
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$62.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$61.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.