TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$876,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$922,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,400 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes73c532,000$387,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,089.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No27c168,784$45,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,627.772236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No27c150,000$40,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,5003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked No27c115,165$31,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,420.15728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No28c61,869$17,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,097.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No28c56,827$15,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,911.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c40,127$28,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,457.6762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No47c34,659$16,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,171.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c34,078$20,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,096.591,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No27c27,641$7,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,465.542536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c16,268$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.481,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes72c15,954$11,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.023756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No27c12,201$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.141241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No33c11,527$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f75…af7ebacked Yes72c10,433$7,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes43c10,233$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,832.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes72c8,584$6,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No27c7,535$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No27c6,950$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No27c5,560$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.19850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No13c5,425$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.0218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No29c4,883$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4161546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c4,252$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.1748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No30c4,092$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.696443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes72c3,790$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.918254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.889450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes69c3,166$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.39560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8406553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No28c2,841$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.582835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No27c2,780$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.738435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7402…8020backed Yes70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No30c2,388$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.247060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No27c2,293$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.118143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c2,282$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.1787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes73c2,124$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.4412963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes72c2,100$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5882653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No11c2,091$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1711916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes71c2,045$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes69c2,044$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.644746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes70c2,000$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6053964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes73c1,986$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.33151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes59c1,984$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.662748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes33c1,713$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.694151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes76c1,580$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.966943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c1,426$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.8233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Yes73c1,353$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.42540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes71c1,288$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.525860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes58c1,024$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.956446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No28c925$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7627049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No28c924.52$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6333148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No28c891.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.351346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Yes72c872.22$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.221233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes72c817.26$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8318351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes69c796.69$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.192552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Yes51c787.36$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No27c777.77$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21016644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…970abacked Yes45c749.37$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes72c738.37$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.745651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes37c708.81$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.553141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4482123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.445151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes38c666.15$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1511725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No27c650.98$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No28c619.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes73c602.44$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.663630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Yes72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes76c594.95$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4715071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No28c521.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Yes72c519.52$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No49c505.37$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.924425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d0b…fbafbacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes72c497.4$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.273354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes48c483.64$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.647343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe352…033abacked Yes69c481.05$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes40c465.41$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No15c460.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f42…a853backed Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No47c402.72$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.281553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No63c400$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0900…6258backed Yes56c393$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b4…a52ebacked No10c390$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Yes72c388.89$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed No14c384.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes55c366.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.223850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed No29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Yes68c335.67$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No31c324.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7411644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes37c305.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.412630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked No65c305.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed Yes72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.