TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7065…5292

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Asian League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 61 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.05
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$485
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$181.64
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+189.3%+$536.96
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$212.41
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$149.29
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.79
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.56
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+89.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$171.79
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$199.3
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$131.11
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.36
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.12
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$62.99
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.86
Will Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$273.54
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$68.47
Will New York Red Bulls vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$97.95
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-70%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.23
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+117.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.