Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57254f601334f5ad84e36761070d1766d71766dfe7f8435ee547d9302f6319f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 8,401$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.66 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Yes | 36c | 7,756$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 4,786$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.29 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 3,825$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.36 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 3,676$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.4 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 3,471$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 3,106$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.25 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 69c | 2,777$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.94 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 75c | 2,640$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.27 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 2,606$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.39 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 69c | 2,043$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.32 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 13c | 1,768$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 1,670$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 30c | 1,513$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 1,333$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.73 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 28c | 1,054$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 943.35$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 69c | 869.93$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.93 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 69c | 700$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 16c | 644.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 40c | 611$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 11c | 599.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 36c | 527.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 40c | 501.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 63c | 460$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 63c | 459.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.8 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 457.78$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed No | 64c | 437$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 66c | 435.6$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 30c | 408.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 66c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 64c | 390$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 15c | 374.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 64c | 349.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 61c | 312$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 272.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes | 36c | 263.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Yes | 36c | 255.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 63c | 242.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 202.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 61c | 199.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 35c | 184.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 24c | 172.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 160.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 159.16$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 40c | 151.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 151.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…f399backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2df9backed Yes | 34c | 146.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 34c | 140.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 139$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 131.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 121.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 10c | 119.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 37c | 109.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 14c | 100.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked No | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 65c | 92.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 36c | 90.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 35c | 85.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 74.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 34c | 72.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Yes | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 34c | 69.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 66.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…5f3bbacked No | 72c | 64.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 35c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 39c | 62.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 31c | 61.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.