Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec4dcd4e327f9d83161bfcc7488d94085230fb849dccbcf9ebd1fb056543b749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 30c | 16,579$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,666.82 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 10,806$7,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.38 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 71c | 10,310$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 30c | 9,934$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,936.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 5,934$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.79 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 71c | 4,092$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 4,043$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.83 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 3,464$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.59 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 23c | 3,448$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.27 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 2,666$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.29 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 2,623$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.22 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 29c | 2,586$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.21 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 74c | 2,528$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.66 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,419$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.46 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 2,274$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.26 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 1,906$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.01 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 46c | 1,746$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.25 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,619$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.58 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 1,192$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.09 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 68c | 1,053$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 952.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.58 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 873$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.85 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 70c | 847$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.16 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 785.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.41 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 69c | 777.53$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 686.75$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 631.79$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.87 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…a327backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 51c | 513.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 19c | 504.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 45c | 447$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 29c | 410.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 72c | 375$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 349.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6ff9backed No | 80c | 341.58$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 51c | 331.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 308.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 72c | 269$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 12c | 248.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 240$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 43c | 231.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 70c | 207.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 17c | 205.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 71c | 199.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 195.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 57c | 174.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 19c | 174$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 69c | 160.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 159.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 25c | 157.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked No | 26c | 154.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 153$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 41c | 152.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 147.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 135.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…3ca2backed No | 52c | 128.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 18c | 124.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 116.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 114.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 101.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 71c | 99.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked No | 76c | 98.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 48c | 93.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 17c | 86.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 85.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 72c | 77.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 67c | 75.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked No | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 71c | 70.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 26c | 66.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 64.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed No | 33c | 64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Yes | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 29c | 46.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…55fcbacked Yes | 53c | 45.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 28c | 40.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 71c | 37.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 71c | 35.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 34.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.