TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87d3…55fc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.15
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$8.03
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$11.63
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.81
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+159.1%+$33.25
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$34.53
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$5.77
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.81
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$39.8
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4.39
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$25.4
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$41.05
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.62
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$8.16
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$19.58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+372.5%+$164.97
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$31.13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.49
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$25.89
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$75.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.85
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+131.1%+$134.9
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.77
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Japan to score first vs. Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$113.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$93.25
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$48.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$8.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatanibacked Nakatani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.