Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847fff4c90d6bd7a8ec13973be5c4b2d7052493cb2571ea156c6ed002987ab68

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $699,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $453,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $699,793 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 375 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	2c	40,717$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.26	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	29,420$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.51	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	14c	15,084$2,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,130.7	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	4c	11,305$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.93	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	11,265$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.3	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	10,812$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.41	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	26c	10,743$2,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,819.51	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	77c	10,467$8,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,380.06	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	14c	8,319$1,126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,126.03	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	8,262$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.38	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	12c	7,451$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.27	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	6,034$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.19	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	6,000$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.6	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	28c	5,838$1,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.5	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	7c	5,824$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.28	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	15c	5,633$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.85	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	5,396$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.89	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	5,137$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.04	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	8c	5,047$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.67	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	12c	5,032$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.74	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	27c	4,639$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.69	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	15c	4,459$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.23	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	11c	4,454$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.02	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	4,358$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.72	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	4,063$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	8c	3,809$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.88	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ed…e29cbacked Yes	3c	3,736$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.88	153	9.8%15 W · 138 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	3,697$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578.83	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	9c	3,509$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.56	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	1c	3,479$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	8c	3,469$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.19	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	8c	3,242$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.04	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6045…c563backed Yes	16c	3,232$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.55	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Yes	19c	3,190$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.78	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	3,126$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	11c	3,052$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.99	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	11c	2,911$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.2	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	2,741$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.69	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3183…c5ebbacked Yes	13c	2,701$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	5c	2,690$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.94	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…645cbacked Yes	3c	2,686$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.31	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	12c	2,627$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.22	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	31c	2,627$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.42	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	16c	2,588$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6779…0400backed Yes	11c	2,567$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.65	94	7.4%7 W · 87 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	16c	2,306$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.14	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	7c	2,273$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.21	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	4c	2,200$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.8	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	17c	2,121$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.91	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	2,072$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	12c	2,053$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.14	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	12c	2,039$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.91	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	13c	2,007$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.11	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	15c	1,986$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.36	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	12c	1,974$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.65	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	17c	1,880$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.1	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	72c	1,751$1,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.34	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	11c	1,750$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.15	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	15c	1,700$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.5	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	13c	1,700$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.2	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	14c	1,686$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.2	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4648…0953backed Yes	2c	1,661$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	18c	1,658$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.79	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	8c	1,651$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.22	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,620$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,617$1,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.39	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	1,596$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.27	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	10c	1,582$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.45	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e6…65f2backed Yes	17c	1,531$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	6c	1,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.66	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…27efbacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	5cpaid	+27%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	13c	1,485$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.06	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	28c	1,466$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.29	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	10c	1,400$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.66	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	13c	1,358$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	12c	1,340$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.3	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	6c	1,318$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.8	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	16c	1,306$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.36	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	17c	1,239$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.63	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes	9c	1,230$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.68	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	11c	1,218$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.98	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	10c	1,210$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.34	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	8c	1,199$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.83	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99fd…9028backed Yes	5c	1,184$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.69	121	12.4%15 W · 106 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	21cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	1,173$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.14	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb3c…4a10backed Yes	9c	1,171$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.4	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	10c	1,170$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.73	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ab…885fbacked Yes	2c	1,119$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	1,111$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.16	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	7c	1,100$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	12c	1,069$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	7c	1,060$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.16	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…6906backed Yes	10c	1,046$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.22	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	9c	1,038$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.59	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	4c	1,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdba1…0232backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…8409backed Yes	17c	999.98$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event