Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6b74de7eca8d28ca4203d67ce17dca5103121ca3f17c3edded8b5219a45d9d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $697,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $477,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $697,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	161,107$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.19	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fd…a67ebacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	23,171$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.05	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	21,741$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,459.92	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	2c	15,206$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.65	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	10,632$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,279.82	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+93.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	11c	9,092$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.58	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	8,959$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.71	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	7,147$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.02	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	2c	5,550$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.67	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	5,300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	5,114$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.46	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	5,108$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.89	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	2c	4,870$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.29	252	11.5%29 W · 223 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	4,336$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.64	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	4,307$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.78	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	7c	4,124$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.08	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	13c	3,754$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.96	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	10c	3,678$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.94	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	3,548$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.94	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	8c	3,522$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.62	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	8c	3,514$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.43	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6741…9f3fbacked Yes	5c	3,222$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	10c	3,144$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.79	119	26.9%32 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	10c	3,093$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.53	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	5c	3,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.41	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	13c	2,950$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.5	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	3c	2,827$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.17	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…7135backed Yes	11c	2,539$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.09	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-96%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	2,500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	5c	2,500$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.44	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	9c	2,346$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	10c	2,326$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.74	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	4c	2,314$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.7	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	10c	2,112$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.62	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	15c	2,100$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	2,091$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.83	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	9c	2,053$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.69	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	1c	2,028$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	2,017$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.23	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	5c	2,002$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.74	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	11c	1,826$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.34	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	8c	1,804$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.81	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	12c	1,800$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	8c	1,750$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.81	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	12c	1,569$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.25	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	5c	1,490$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.87	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	1,465$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.3	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	7c	1,450$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.17	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	13c	1,408$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.27	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	16c	1,401$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	14c	1,391$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.5	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	1,388$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.07	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	10c	1,371$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.7	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	1,355$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.78	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	9c	1,348$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.31	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	9c	1,239$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.76	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	6c	1,236$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.37	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd80…4f46backed Yes	8c	1,208$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.25	74	20.3%15 W · 59 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x017e…be52backed Yes	11c	1,161$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.72	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	13c	1,143$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,127$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.81	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	1,050$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	2c	1,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.3	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed Yes	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.7	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…8409backed Yes	13c	999.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.17	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201a…3418backed Yes	12c	966.26$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.37	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	5c	959.98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.55	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	7c	950.44$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.98	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	17c	941.11$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.99	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	900.09$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.27	351	12.8%45 W · 306 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	10c	899.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	10c	899.99$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.35	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a84…3788backed Yes	11c	876.87$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	20c	871.9$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.38	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfded…c2efbacked Yes	9c	840.33$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.86	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0fc…88b1backed Yes	10c	830$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0a…0190backed Yes	5c	829.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	10c	804.93$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.35	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	12c	802.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7450…01a0backed Yes	3c	788.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	8c	774.55$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.61	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0295…ed9dbacked Yes	4c	768.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	35%14 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	10c	754.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.44	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	3c	746.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	4c	737.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.57	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	9c	707.04$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.63	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	6c	699.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	10c	699.64$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.53	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	14c	691.11$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.8	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dff…a5dfbacked Yes	12c	652.45$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.97	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	33cpaid	+104.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x636b…615bbacked Yes	9c	652.39$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	167	29.9%50 W · 117 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	8c	652.17$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	9c	649.72$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.7	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	641.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	13c	631.46$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.02	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event