Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91843992ae831666114ea66ff8cc850eb669ca10e098315453a4667a236f6fb0

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $571,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $482,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,074 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	8c	63,409$4,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,767.19	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	12c	14,412$1,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,748.6	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53b7…45e5backed Yes	26c	11,231$2,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,898.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	20c	10,002$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	25c	9,520$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,359.56	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	28c	7,624$2,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,148.83	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed No	77c	6,429$4,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,495.61	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	53c	6,324$3,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,327.99	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	43c	5,365$2,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.91	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	12c	5,203$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.55	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	27c	5,112$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.54	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	25c	4,903$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.19	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	18c	4,836$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$857.69	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	31c	4,829$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.41	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	4,671$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.54	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	17c	4,621$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.92	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x863b…4f2cbacked Yes	48c	4,521$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.9	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9e…ae15backed Yes	26c	4,511$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.37	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	31c	4,400$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.92	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed No	73c	4,073$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.61	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	75c	3,865$2,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.21	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	25c	3,800$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.78	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	27c	3,465$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.03	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186c…f982backed No	71c	3,420$2,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.58	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	39c	3,394$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.87	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	61c	3,367$2,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,311.61	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…6b1fbacked No	75c	3,342$2,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	19c	3,257$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.33	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked No	46c	3,237$1,489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,747.83	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	16c	3,208$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.75	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	14c	3,080$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.93	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	13c	3,028$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.47	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	3,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	68c	2,795$1,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.97	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	64c	2,789$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.99	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed No	74c	2,762$2,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.94	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	30c	2,749$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.05	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	31c	2,566$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.92	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	72c	2,500$1,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.99	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	25c	2,477$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$618.23	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	17c	2,348$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.98	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	34c	2,337$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.66	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked No	73c	2,282$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.73	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	20c	2,209$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.85	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	20c	2,190$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.75	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	32c	2,176$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685.52	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	8c	2,150$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.5	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	21c	2,095$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.6	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	50c	2,068$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.17	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	22c	2,049$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.29	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	32c	2,042$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5f5…e714backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	23c	1,893$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.76	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	79c	1,860$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.59	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6045…c563backed Yes	29c	1,859$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.23	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6741…9f3fbacked Yes	52c	1,841$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	17c	1,819$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.37	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41be…5f38backed Yes	17c	1,736$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.12	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	67c	1,716$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.3	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	11c	1,714$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.54	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	23c	1,687$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.53	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	43c	1,677$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.54	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	23c	1,669$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.52	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No	59c	1,603$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$653.21	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	26c	1,585$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.02	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	38c	1,543$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.62	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	24c	1,499$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.79	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	1,450$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.5	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	25c	1,434$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.67	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed No	78c	1,428$1,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.35	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	-16.1wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	62c	1,423$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.82	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	53c	1,403$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.44	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	25c	1,361$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.29	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	29c	1,350$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.36	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	22c	1,320$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.14	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	30c	1,283$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.17	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	10c	1,280$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	66c	1,247$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.04	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd143…ddb8backed Yes	26c	1,216$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.46	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	18c	1,103$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.58	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	26c	1,084$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.88	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	47c	1,069$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	29c	1,047$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	62c	1,030$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.22	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x017e…be52backed Yes	36c	1,028$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.98	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	24c	1,026$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…c826backed Yes	30c	1,014$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.39	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…8409backed Yes	19c	1,000$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.53	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed No	54c	999.99$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	72c	988$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.34	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	47c	970.79$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.81	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	19c	943.43$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2e…716bbacked No	59c	908.42$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.57	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	77c	900$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed No	47c	894.85$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.39	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	33c	870.44$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.37	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	20c	865.52$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.86	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	15c	865.45$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.92	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	25c	862.05$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.31	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event