TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbeab…d961

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT14829.1%43 W · 105 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$168.05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.7
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+282.5%+$37.95
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.33
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$105.23
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$79.92
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.46
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$1,001.09
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.26
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT6431.3%20 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$123.7
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$261.31
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,439.98
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will Batrider be the most banned hero at BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.74
Will Puck be the most banned hero at BLAST Slam VII?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$64.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.66
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$150.99
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT5137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$440
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$774
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,870
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$734Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$273.23
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$248.99
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.3
Mallorca Championships: Mariano Navone vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuelbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$510.49
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Australian Open Men's: Denis Shapovalov vs Marin Cilicbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Rafael Jodarbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.28
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+87.7%+$51.4
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.