TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ruudof Munar, Ruud
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,113

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Munar32c32,000$10,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,239.9611633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Munar31c28,360$8,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,891.1876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…ca34backed Ruud69c25,000$17,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.854060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Munar7c20,459$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Munar19c18,859$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf691…ef99backed Ruud80c16,901$13,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.591163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Munar31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9913934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ruud69c7,949$5,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.622,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Ruud69c7,290$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.6127460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Munar31c7,118$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.452,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Ruud70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Munar0c5,281$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.812,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Munar32c5,098$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.9924448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Munar26c5,075$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.53046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Ruud73c4,719$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.3525764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Munar32c4,678$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49718237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Munar33c4,587$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Ruud69c4,550$3,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.3524846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Ruud69c4,500$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Munar30c4,500$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.9919241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Munar31c4,345$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.0337540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Munar32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5b…6eb8backed Ruud69c3,767$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Ruud69c3,634$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.848158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Ruud68c3,607$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.249264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Munar31c3,226$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Munar19c3,217$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.822,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Ruud69c3,018$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.6333256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa6…4eb6backed Ruud74c3,001$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.722958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Munar29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8701,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ruud70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90017244.8%77 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Ruud68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9608825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Munar32c2,998$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.531332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Ruud69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5515862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ruud68c2,866$1,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.51,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb101…5024backed Ruud69c2,738$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…53e6backed Ruud68c2,647$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…a1f1backed Ruud69c2,632$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Munar4c2,568$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Munar24c2,522$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Munar32c2,285$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.482,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Ruud74c2,136$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0664540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Ruud69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6206141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Munar22c1,999$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.6712631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Munar32c1,703$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5457041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Munar32c1,703$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54526158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Ruud69c1,664$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.925354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Munar14c1,606$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Munar30c1,596$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.772,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Munar3c1,524$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.891,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Ruud69c1,512$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.0637444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Ruud68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.591,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Munar7c1,454$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.352,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Ruud69c1,400$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43466949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Munar31c1,400$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43472452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Munar28c1,400$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39244125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Ruud68c1,334$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7812861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Munar31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.911843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Munar31c1,210$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.327733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Ruud68c1,200$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38444163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Ruud69c1,174$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.9178152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Ruud74c1,148$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2989955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruud71c1,081$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.041,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Munar3c1,078$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Munar28c1,001$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28019023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Munar32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Munar7c990.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.623935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Munar31c968$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0847639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Munar32c919.82$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.991,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Ruud72c897.29$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.248446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Ruud70c846.14$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.5838652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dab…4522backed Ruud69c819.03$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.43946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Ruud69c799.99$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24611859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5804…dc41backed Ruud70c799.52$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.866553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ruud76c770$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.21,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Munar31c767.59$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.173048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc39…e02fbacked Ruud74c758.35$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.55580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Ruud68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.292958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb13…8bb4backed Ruud71c706.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.511963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Munar29c700$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20612740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Ruud69c623.19$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1913852.9%73 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Munar30c619.53$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8657645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Ruud72c595.87$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.72,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Munar26c592.72$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.699135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Ruud69c579.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8310247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ruud65c565$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.454,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Ruud71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.382030%6 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Munar33c525.73$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.491,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Munar31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Munar31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Ruud79c500$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.76988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef5…46e0backed Ruud69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Munar30c493.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.067,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Ruud78c475.71$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3416867.9%114 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ruud77c474.1$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.411,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Munar32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Munar17c455.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.211717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-71.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Munar6c450$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.14599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Ruud69c449.28$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.282250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Ruud69c442.3$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1117432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.