TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7dab…4522

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardibacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$588.03
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$172.45
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.63
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Yibing Wubacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$112.43
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paulbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardibacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$115.77
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$154.27
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.71
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$236.99
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$362.22
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.76
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.3%+$6.95
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$424.89
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$119.09
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+30.1%+$453.58
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30.21
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+45.3%+$255.4
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Dane Sweenybacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+26%+$113.93
Australian Open Men's: Jordan Thompson vs Nuno Borgesbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$170.2
Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+70.9%+$178.16
Australian Open Men's: Joao Fonseca vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$57.35
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$34.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.