Tennis · resolved market
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x957a14d8611be56fb3150b39f5f11f072642c8a4003d6ad0641a3555096f9b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Learner Tienof Mariano Navone, Learner Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $708,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $832,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Learner Tien | 42c | 47,354$19,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,403.14 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Learner Tien | 41c | 34,894$14,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,676.35 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Mariano Navone | 60c | 33,068$19,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,802.58 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…0091backed Mariano Navone | 56c | 27,915$15,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600.79 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Learner Tien | 52c | 24,804$13,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,801.91 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariano Navone | 44c | 23,727$10,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,438.45 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Mariano Navone | 41c | 23,131$9,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,569.29 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Mariano Navone | 66c | 20,916$13,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,758.34 | 644 | 55.3%356 W · 288 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mariano Navone | 40c | 17,300$6,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.23 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Mariano Navone | 56c | 16,007$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariano Navone | 30c | 15,674$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764.22 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mariano Navone | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,849.85 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Learner Tien | 79c | 14,780$11,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.7 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Learner Tien | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,080 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mariano Navone | 55c | 10,379$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.03 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Mariano Navone | 1c | 9,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Mariano Navone | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 47%170 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Learner Tien | 23c | 8,246$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,326.53 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Mariano Navone | 58c | 7,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.99 | 332 | 46.4%154 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Mariano Navone | 47c | 6,938$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Learner Tien | 16c | 6,224$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.49 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Mariano Navone | 36c | 5,439$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Learner Tien | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Learner Tien | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Learner Tien | 24c | 4,920$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.89 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Mariano Navone | 53c | 4,869$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Mariano Navone | 56c | 3,926$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.08 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Learner Tien | 35c | 3,841$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.95 | 104 | 23.1%24 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…4026backed Mariano Navone | 58c | 3,397$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Mariano Navone | 56c | 3,156$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.68 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Mariano Navone | 54c | 3,129$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.34 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…4682backed Learner Tien | 15c | 2,957$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.73 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Mariano Navone | 68c | 2,931$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.17 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mariano Navone | 57c | 2,764$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.54 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Learner Tien | 75c | 2,671$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.91 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Learner Tien | 49c | 2,626$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.22 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 2,533$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Learner Tien | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Learner Tien | 41c | 2,500$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Mariano Navone | 30c | 2,460$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.23 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Learner Tien | 41c | 2,368$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Mariano Navone | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.29 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Learner Tien | 41c | 2,100$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.57 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Learner Tien | 41c | 2,096$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.48 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Learner Tien | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Mariano Navone | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Learner Tien | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 365 | 38.4%140 W · 225 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Mariano Navone | 42c | 1,894$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 436 | 43.8%191 W · 245 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Mariano Navone | 49c | 1,800$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mariano Navone | 56c | 1,604$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.55 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…92b4backed Mariano Navone | 58c | 1,604$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Learner Tien | 72c | 1,552$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Learner Tien | 40c | 1,542$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.98 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,500$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.82 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Learner Tien | 33c | 1,500$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Learner Tien | 43c | 1,373$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.53 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Mariano Navone | 76c | 1,335$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.96 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Learner Tien | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 333 | 42.6%142 W · 191 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…28d7backed Learner Tien | 57c | 1,296$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.83 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Learner Tien | 78c | 1,275$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mariano Navone | 56c | 1,272$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.26 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Mariano Navone | 39c | 1,272$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.04 | 872 | 37.2%324 W · 548 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Mariano Navone | 58c | 1,192$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.01 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Mariano Navone | 31c | 1,183$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.84 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Mariano Navone | 16c | 1,167$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Learner Tien | 74c | 1,116$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.15 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,100$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Mariano Navone | 49c | 1,073$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.23 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Learner Tien | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Mariano Navone | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Learner Tien | 73c | 1,005$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Learner Tien | 15c | 1,005$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.22 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Mariano Navone | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 702 | 52.8%371 W · 331 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Mariano Navone | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…1496backed Learner Tien | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Learner Tien | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,505 | 37.7%568 W · 937 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Learner Tien | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mariano Navone | 30c | 910.51$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 713 | 29.7%212 W · 501 L | -39.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mariano Navone | 49c | 903.15$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Learner Tien | 40c | 899.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Mariano Navone | 20c | 894.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Mariano Navone | 6c | 871.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mariano Navone | 58c | 862.05$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…b009backed Mariano Navone | 59c | 850.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Learner Tien | 46c | 850.74$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.16 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Learner Tien | 60c | 827.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mariano Navone | 53c | 822.07$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.05 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Learner Tien | 69c | 821.11$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Learner Tien | 45c | 807.74$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.32 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…d78bbacked Mariano Navone | 56c | 783.67$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.51 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Learner Tien | 35c | 771.59$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.59 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Learner Tien | 43c | 752.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.72 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Learner Tien | 71c | 737.34$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 386 | 46.4%179 W · 207 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…a65fbacked Learner Tien | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…e902backed Learner Tien | 61c | 709.94$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Mariano Navone | 18c | 709.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Learner Tien | 45c | 700.36$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.14 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Learner Tien | 43c | 698.48$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.49 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Mariano Navone | 58c | 689.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienthis page
- Mariano Navone vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Navone vs. Tien: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Navone vs TienNavone won
- Set Handicap: Navone (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.