TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x792d…7363

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)backed Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$146.67
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarrobacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$402
Chisinau: Andrej Nedic vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$233.75
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$501.59
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Thomas Faurelbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.57
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Petr Nesterovbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$133.33
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Camila Osorio vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58%+$99.83
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$62.72
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.86
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Thiago Monteirobacked Thiago Monteiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$347.12
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffinbacked David Goffin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.58
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.49
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Clara Tauson vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Bengaluru 3: Sasikumar Mukund vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Taiyo Yamanaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Alastair Graybacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+153.5%+$389.88
Cervia: Moise Kouame vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$98.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$21.76
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$377.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$88.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.