Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc30470f2afc7f82f828bd904075a8ca90ed252ea6325d6c88145e98b1d4664c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Prizmic, Kopriva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Prizmic | 50c | 3,897$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.75 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Prizmic | 54c | 3,285$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.74 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kopriva | 46c | 2,662$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.61 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Kopriva | 50c | 2,656$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Kopriva | 50c | 796.8$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.42 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…7363backed Kopriva | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Prizmic | 51c | 331.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Kopriva | 47c | 329$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Kopriva | 47c | 255.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Prizmic | 52c | 246.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Prizmic | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Kopriva | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Kopriva | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kopriva | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Kopriva | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Kopriva | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…3ad7backed Kopriva | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…505ebacked Prizmic | 51c | 94.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…727abacked Prizmic | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…23ffbacked Kopriva | 49c | 39.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Kopriva | 49c | 33.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…5e4ebacked Kopriva | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Prizmic | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)this page
- Croatia Open: Vit Kopriva vs Dino PrizmicDino Prizmic won
- Kopriva vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kopriva vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Kopriva vs PrizmicPrizmic won
- Set Handicap: Kopriva (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)Prizmic won
- Vit Kopriva vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.