TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac36…b1e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.8
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.86
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)backed Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$285
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Fritz vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$217.09
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.84
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63%+$270.67
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$325
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)backed Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Fritz vs. Aguilar: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.9
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.03
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.77
Set Handicap: Shnaider (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)backed Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$217.3
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.42
Blockx vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$246.4
Tirante vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$247.26
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
England leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.38
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$133.9
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$177.34
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$277.5
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$280.44
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.92
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.09
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+86%+$129.07
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick29cpaid+78.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Qairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$246.02
Exact Score: Hammarby Fotboll 1 - 1 RSC Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$167.31
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Exact Score: MŠK Žilina 1 - 1 GKS GieKSa Katowice?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 1 FC Midtjylland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Exact Score: FK Dynamo Kyiv 1 - 1 PAOK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: FC Flora 1 - 1 The New Saints FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+144.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.