Fifa International · resolved market
England leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b842b2cfd27726930298a14d632ac74dfe21d229f19d5a73625f992e29d64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 28c | 235,073$65,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,820.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 133,260$97,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,633.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 72c | 103,070$74,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,482.3 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 39,710$28,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150.19 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 35,491$9,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,118.06 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 72c | 34,037$24,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,530.32 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 21c | 22,259$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 28c | 17,857$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…e160backed Yes | 28c | 16,362$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 15,315$11,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.27 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 14,749$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 72c | 13,811$9,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.14 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 10,876$7,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed No | 72c | 8,491$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.36 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 6,980$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 72c | 5,806$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.55 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 5,171$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 72c | 3,750$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 1c | 3,712$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 72c | 3,367$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.52 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 3,349$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 28c | 3,286$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 3,203$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.17 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 74c | 2,631$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.66 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 2,100$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 2,001$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,917$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…65a0backed Yes | 29c | 1,897$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 73c | 1,896$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.82 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 1,831$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.16 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 2c | 1,754$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Yes | 30c | 1,676$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,639$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.98 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 1c | 1,578$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…51dfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 72c | 1,150$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,118$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a4…561bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 14c | 1,048$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked No | 79c | 997.98$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 28c | 928.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 9c | 845$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 12c | 816.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 80c | 810$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 737.66$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 74c | 735.52$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 21c | 604.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 8c | 600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Yes | 24c | 579.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 520$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 20c | 499.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 497.66$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 29c | 493.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 28c | 480$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 13c | 457.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 415.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc0…12e6backed Yes | 28c | 410.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d0…3df9backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 9c | 399.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 561 | 51%286 W · 275 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed No | 72c | 399.1$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Yes | 27c | 388.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes | 25c | 370.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 153 | 25.5%39 W · 114 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 72c | 357.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.07 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…edc9backed Yes | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…c40bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 295.72$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 74c | 278.89$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Yes | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 25c | 251$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e1…1fdbbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…0bf5backed Yes | 16c | 245.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 73c | 240.22$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 232$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England leading at halftime?this page
- Argentina leading at halftime?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.