TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d64…ba4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 50 out of 100; worst WNBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$57.08
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$51.02
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$196
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.47
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$46.5
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$86.39
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.08
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.24
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$68.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.65
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+441.8%+$216.82
United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$102.83
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.25
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.17
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.83
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$167.9
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+60%+$193.52
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$2,134.39
England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$58.62
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-63%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
WNBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.72
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$127.39
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$67.38
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.37
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.75
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Feverbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.21
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.76
Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-5.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.49
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$30.94
All 17 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.