WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b460e8426fdb8ae3f0c78d88d5c0ef649abf56b47fe8432b565debe1a91dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 50c | 19,541$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,794.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 10,614$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,271.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 51c | 5,925$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.66 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 5,135$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.01 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 3,330$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.83 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 51c | 2,747$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 2,367$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.75 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 53c | 2,258$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.86 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 2,144$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.64 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 46c | 2,008$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.65 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 1,365$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.17 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,329$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.25 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 1,014$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.81 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 952.06$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.01 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 943$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.01 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 517.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 412.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…df7fbacked Over | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 50c | 355.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 343.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 252.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…7e67backed Over | 48c | 247.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 52c | 240$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked Under | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 160.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 149.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 41c | 145.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 52c | 118.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 49c | 113$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 109.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 101.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 51c | 90.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…1755backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…ac3dbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…4fdbbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…2515backed Over | 51c | 78.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 52c | 70.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 62c | 66.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 59.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 51.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 51c | 48.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 52c | 47.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 46.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 42.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 51c | 40.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 50c | 38.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 40c | 36.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0789…f7adbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 53c | 28.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 53c | 28.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 53c | 28.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 53c | 26.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…f0cfbacked Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 48c | 24.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 55c | 22.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas AcesAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.