WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa88346b573ed00f1027dd32530b9ec52b978953597d7ca0a86bea57909e12b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 47c | 11,211$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.24 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 8,949$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 3,154$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.35 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 2,071$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.44 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 47c | 1,883$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Over | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Under | 62c | 1,500$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 54c | 1,295$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 37c | 1,178$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.84 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 793.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Under | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 46c | 688.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Under | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 430.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.37 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 61c | 338.42$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.95 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Under | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 266.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 36c | 235$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Under | 42c | 229.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 43c | 212$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 62c | 192.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Under | 71c | 179.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e10…d25bbacked Under | 57c | 174.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 151.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 44c | 133.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 130.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…6a9fbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 65c | 119.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 53c | 110.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 47c | 110.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 108$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 56c | 101$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 43c | 93.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Under | 51c | 93.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Under | 53c | 91.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 53c | 86.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 43c | 78.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Under | 33c | 65.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Over | 60c | 54.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 54c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 58c | 48.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 53c | 47.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 44.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 49c | 44.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…1604backed Under | 54c | 36.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 35.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Under | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 41c | 31.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 45c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 51c | 27.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Under | 46c | 24.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…fa02backed Under | 57c | 23.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 61c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas AcesAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Under won
- Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.