WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ae2b2d6c46a030f29fd109d3138c15c54dd5e726770d7c7745e5eae288ce68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 49c | 21,339$10,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,545.3 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 12,850$6,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,492.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 11,876$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.22 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…88ecbacked Over | 3c | 5,839$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 5,341$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.41 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 54c | 4,102$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.7 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 4,016$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.28 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 3,660$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.41 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 49c | 3,178$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.34 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 48c | 2,761$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.7 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 1,800$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,768$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 1,723$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.45 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Under | 53c | 1,580$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.46 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 50c | 1,539$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.26 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 1,263$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.54 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 50c | 934.22$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.11 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 50c | 795.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…219fbacked Under | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 583.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.78 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 3c | 447.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 45c | 425.01$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 49c | 398.27$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.87 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Under | 56c | 315.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 309.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 275$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 158.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 70c | 158.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 41c | 157.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 148.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 145.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 56c | 136.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 55c | 129.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 44c | 114.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…dcffbacked Under | 52c | 103.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 87.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 87.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…4f05backed Under | 48c | 81.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 44c | 78.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 45c | 71.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 65.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 54.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 69c | 54.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 47c | 53.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 54c | 48.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Under | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…9758backed Under | 49c | 38.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over | 51c | 38.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 44c | 36.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 57c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 55c | 28.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 44c | 27.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Over | 45c | 26.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 45c | 25.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 22.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas AcesAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.