WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3b169bd140086ad4f94f907b166065a81f02e26de13c577a55542f2038ccb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 12,781$6,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,262.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 8,161$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 5,570$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,955.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over | 51c | 5,157$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,527.13 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -6.5wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Under | 49c | 3,359$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 2,088$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.69 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 49c | 2,051$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.07 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 31c | 1,592$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.21 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.24 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 54c | 1,024$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 984$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.33 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 49c | 608$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 54c | 562.94$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 49c | 465.41$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 438$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 363.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 331.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.65 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 49c | 205.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 52c | 184.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 166.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 48c | 160.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 123.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 112.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 52c | 111.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 100.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 54c | 96.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 48c | 93.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 86.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 48c | 68.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 64.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f04…ea38backed Over | 52c | 63.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 46c | 60.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 47c | 59.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 53c | 44.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…fdb3backed Over | 73c | 41.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 62c | 31.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9c36backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Under | 48c | 21.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5this page
- A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas AcesAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Under won
- Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.