WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7dff1476e0b9efbc152416bd9310da7c792e28327c208d24c42939408b94d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 52c | 42,022$21,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,851.65 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 48c | 17,708$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,208.33 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 52c | 10,674$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.75 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 48c | 10,042$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,221.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Under | 48c | 8,950$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 8,150$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.51 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 5,047$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.71 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Under | 48c | 4,339$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 46c | 3,593$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.48 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 48c | 2,742$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.67 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 24c | 2,457$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.01 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.77 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,905$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.39 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 48c | 1,665$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.61 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 45c | 1,343$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 879.22$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.25 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 46c | 870.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.02 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 767.59$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.35 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 588.48$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 62c | 500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.36 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Under | 46c | 455.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Under | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 45c | 414.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Over | 57c | 360$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 346.4$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 53c | 304.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 48c | 290.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 53c | 280.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Over | 52c | 261$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 56c | 239.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 209.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 55c | 166.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Over | 50c | 155.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8aa8backed Over | 53c | 150.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 8c | 140.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 129$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…63e4backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 53c | 125.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 44c | 119$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 109.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 46c | 106.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 105.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 39c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 45c | 95.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 49c | 93.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…fa2bbacked Over | 52c | 88.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Over | 52c | 75.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 45c | 73.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6389…17a0backed Over | 57c | 67.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 48c | 64.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 67c | 57.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…ba4abacked Under | 45c | 56.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 74c | 53.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 53c | 48.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed Under | 48c | 43.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 48c | 40.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 72c | 36.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 27.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 21.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5this page
- Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.