WNBA · resolved market
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cae71e7a30a5c9b2109ff159949af20db7502a7e88cd9c16248038aa9b9c088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Phoenix Mercury, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 12,397$8,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,449.71 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 6,938$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.24 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 6,224$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.54 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68a…0f2bbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 4,046$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 3,711$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 3,606$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 3,265$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.5 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Connecticut Sun | 21c | 3,205$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 3,177$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Connecticut Sun | 20c | 2,420$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.58 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Connecticut Sun | 35c | 2,404$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.96 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Connecticut Sun | 27c | 2,397$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.34 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 2,357$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.21 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 2,305$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.09 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun | 32c | 2,153$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.59 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.65 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.69 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 1,859$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 1,843$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…1117backed Connecticut Sun | 21c | 1,784$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Connecticut Sun | 39c | 1,590$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Phoenix Mercury | 2c | 1,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 1,542$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 58c | 1,376$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.94 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 1,346$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.35 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…76cdbacked Connecticut Sun | 33c | 1,224$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 1,147$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.73 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 1,144$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 1,119$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.55 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 1,083$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.14 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 1,037$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 880.57$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 841.9$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 815$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.3 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 29c | 810.53$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Connecticut Sun | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 721.7$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.25 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 717.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.23 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 681.56$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 676.44$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Phoenix Mercury | 67c | 648.05$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.19 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 631.92$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.04 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 35c | 604.21$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.18 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun | 32c | 569.75$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.43 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Connecticut Sun | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 482.19$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.29 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Phoenix Mercury | 40c | 480.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Connecticut Sun | 34c | 459.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.25 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 425.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 416.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Connecticut Sun | 59c | 391.22$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun | 35c | 378.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 373.19$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.2 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phoenix Mercury | 28c | 367$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 366.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 361.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Connecticut Sun | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Connecticut Sun | 29c | 340.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Phoenix Mercury | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 300.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 20c | 291.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 74c | 281.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.14 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 273.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Connecticut Sun | 43c | 267$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…9358backed Connecticut Sun | 20c | 263$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Phoenix Mercury | 68c | 262.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…42d9backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 260$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Connecticut Sun | 31c | 259.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 253.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Connecticut Sun | 37c | 252.61$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 242.13$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.54 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 237.64$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Connecticut Sun | 31c | 229.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Phoenix Mercury | 35c | 227.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…4184backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Connecticut Sun | 34c | 219.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phoenix Mercury | 16c | 206.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Connecticut Sun | 27c | 191.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Phoenix Mercury | 41c | 190.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 45c | 186.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 185.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Phoenix Mercury | 38c | 185.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Phoenix Mercury | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 177.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Phoenix Mercury | 29c | 176.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Connecticut Sun | 33c | 173$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 168.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Connecticut Sun | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 165.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Connecticut Sun | 33c | 162.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x350c…197fbacked Connecticut Sun | 37c | 162.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 159.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sunthis page
- Alyssa Thomas: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 172.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 173.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.