TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6759…1117

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,157.27
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$983.28
Generali Open, Qualification: Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Pozoblanco: Ivan Ivanov vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Ivan Ivanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$409.69
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$855
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$786.61
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.81
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.39
Wimbledon WTA: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$267.05
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovicbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Wimbledon WTA: Anna Blinkova vs Marta Kostyukbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$372
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.7
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.81
Wimbledon WTA: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maria Timofeevabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+84.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+186.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+366.1%+$1,401.34
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$192.86
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$188.57
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+310.1%+$418.58
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.