Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ea18862817bb46732ae25166086253e98e67f88be0990bce69380a4016f636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shintaro Mochizukiof Shintaro Mochizuki, Ethan Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $551,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Ethan Quinn | 27c | 59,106$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…ef29backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 38,778$29,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,111.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 32,400$16,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,443.78 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 30,429$22,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.4 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 21,895$13,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,641.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ethan Quinn | 29c | 21,884$6,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,247.32 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ethan Quinn | 64c | 21,479$13,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,649.85 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 20,405$8,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,255.06 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 19,823$9,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,836.57 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 15,116$7,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.61 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 10,946$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,232.2 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 10,538$5,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.31 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Ethan Quinn | 73c | 9,661$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.69 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 9,587$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.83 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 9,174$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,697.16 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…71c0backed Ethan Quinn | 74c | 8,834$6,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,520 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…ff1cbacked Ethan Quinn | 71c | 7,859$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Ethan Quinn | 26c | 6,561$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Ethan Quinn | 72c | 6,137$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.01 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 5,819$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.09 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…3881backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 51c | 5,450$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Ethan Quinn | 54c | 5,031$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.91 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 4,554$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.57 | 1,371 | 38.3%525 W · 846 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ethan Quinn | 64c | 3,746$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.97 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ethan Quinn | 44c | 3,726$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.78 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 3,700$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.96 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 3,672$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.99 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 73c | 3,509$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.72 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 3,052$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.52 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 2,516$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae2…3151backed Ethan Quinn | 23c | 2,434$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 2,382$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.27 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Ethan Quinn | 37c | 2,282$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.76 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Ethan Quinn | 25c | 2,244$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Ethan Quinn | 26c | 2,165$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 511 | 42.7%218 W · 293 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…5d9cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 2,160$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 76c | 2,150$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 29c | 2,072$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Ethan Quinn | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 75c | 2,000$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.95 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Ethan Quinn | 22c | 1,933$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Ethan Quinn | 25c | 1,931$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.08 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Ethan Quinn | 61c | 1,911$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.36 | 588 | 59%347 W · 241 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 29c | 1,897$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.38 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 79c | 1,893$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.45 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 1,808$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.18 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Ethan Quinn | 23c | 1,744$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Ethan Quinn | 27c | 1,743$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 1,641$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.14 | 298 | 54%161 W · 137 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Ethan Quinn | 29c | 1,535$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 72c | 1,528$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.32 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ethan Quinn | 1c | 1,393$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ethan Quinn | 60c | 1,305$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.93 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Ethan Quinn | 22c | 1,272$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 1,245$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.53 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Ethan Quinn | 23c | 1,233$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…5678backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Ethan Quinn | 48c | 1,008$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.27 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | -19.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 920.75$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.27 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Ethan Quinn | 53c | 812.43$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.52 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Ethan Quinn | 37c | 811.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 800.88$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Ethan Quinn | 25c | 796.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 773.66$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Ethan Quinn | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 280 | 32.5%91 W · 189 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 26c | 768.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.05 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 757.15$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 680.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 671.81$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.72 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 666$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 31c | 650$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.5 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Ethan Quinn | 29c | 642.88$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ethan Quinn | 33c | 640.58$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.72 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 74c | 626.25$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…3cc9backed Ethan Quinn | 61c | 595.39$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 46.8%187 W · 213 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 60c | 587.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…a04fbacked Ethan Quinn | 26c | 522.35$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ethan Quinn | 72c | 518.75$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…54d4backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530b…244fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Ethan Quinn | 69c | 499.99$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 254 | 48.8%124 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Ethan Quinn | 45c | 488.74$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Ethan Quinn | 51c | 486.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 78c | 463.23$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 28c | 462.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.91 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Ethan Quinn | 58c | 459.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.79 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ethan Quinn | 69c | 449.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.43 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Ethan Quinn | 31c | 446.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.02 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…3e2abacked Ethan Quinn | 34c | 442.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnthis page
- Mochizuki vs. Quinn: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs QuinnMochizuki won
- Set 2 Winner: Mochizuki vs QuinnMochizuki won
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Mochizuki (+1.5)Mochizuki won
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-2.5) vs Mochizuki (+2.5)Mochizuki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.