TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3590…71c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,520
Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zhengbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.92
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Tommy Paulbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,916.31
Cary: Ozan Baris vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Wimbledon WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+229.4%+$4,076.36
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+218.9%+$5,471.38
Wimbledon WTA: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Katie Swanbacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,625.27
Wimbledon WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tausonbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,572.1
Brasov: Lautaro Midon vs Stefan Haitabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$1,134.89
Brasov: Francesco Maestrelli vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$1,635.41
Milan: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travagliabacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$989.44
Brasov: Guido Justo vs Sebastian Gimabacked Sebastian Gima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.36
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$554.51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$4,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,003.04
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.41
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,173.29
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$2,084.75
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,046.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.