Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821b530445694142d4b28874d58ffe841cad17a1106b7c0cff715bd7a165d7df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Norway, Iraq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,768,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,190,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,768,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iraq | 43c | 607,891$261,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261,791.49 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Iraq | 41c | 361,736$147,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,434.42 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Norway | 60c | 273,941$162,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,942.89 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iraq | 40c | 140,329$55,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,476.41 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Norway | 59c | 126,608$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,607.83 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Norway | 59c | 84,746$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,745.76 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Norway | 59c | 84,746$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,745.76 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Norway | 56c | 72,224$40,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,992.72 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Norway | 58c | 62,085$36,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,066.59 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…4cf3backed Norway | 59c | 60,355$35,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,660.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq | 41c | 53,645$21,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,976.07 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…c670backed Iraq | 41c | 50,272$20,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,611.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Iraq | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,499.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Norway | 59c | 45,000$26,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,449.85 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…cd40backed Norway | 45c | 41,552$18,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,035.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Norway | 59c | 40,867$24,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,729.62 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Norway | 59c | 40,500$23,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,604.98 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Norway | 59c | 28,390$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,639.83 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Norway | 59c | 26,000$15,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,660 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Norway | 59c | 25,996$15,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,658.41 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Norway | 43c | 25,801$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,781.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…efc0backed Norway | 59c | 25,424$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,423.73 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Iraq | 40c | 25,304$10,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,121.59 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Norway | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Norway | 60c | 24,658$14,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,968.34 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Norway | 59c | 24,000$14,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,839.97 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Norway | 61c | 22,833$13,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,850 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Iraq | 53c | 22,769$11,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,961.71 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Norway | 56c | 20,662$11,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,093.49 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…d250backed Iraq | 40c | 19,999$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Iraq | 41c | 18,062$7,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.59 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…fec0backed Norway | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…5b07backed Norway | 59c | 16,442$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,741.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…006abacked Iraq | 42c | 15,606$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,554.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iraq | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Iraq | 41c | 14,257$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.71 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Norway | 59c | 14,000$8,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,690 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…12d8backed Iraq | 41c | 14,000$5,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Norway | 59c | 13,475$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Iraq | 50c | 12,901$6,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450.71 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…1846backed Norway | 59c | 12,641$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Norway | 60c | 12,020$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.48 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Iraq | 41c | 11,944$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.23 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iraq | 39c | 11,839$4,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Iraq | 45c | 11,575$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.67 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Iraq | 41c | 11,514$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,693.28 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Iraq | 48c | 10,673$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.28 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Norway | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Norway | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…466cbacked Norway | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iraq | 41c | 9,755$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.5 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Iraq | 50c | 8,876$4,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.31 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Iraq | 41c | 8,689$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.52 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Norway | 59c | 8,631$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.81 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Norway | 59c | 8,537$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.81 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Norway | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.58 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Norway | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Norway | 59c | 8,220$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Iraq | 41c | 7,939$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.82 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Iraq | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3d76backed Iraq | 42c | 6,951$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Norway | 59c | 6,933$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Norway | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.66 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Norway | 59c | 6,325$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.13 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Iraq | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Iraq | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.98 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Iraq | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…7777backed Norway | 59c | 5,492$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Norway | 64c | 5,445$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.2 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Norway | 59c | 5,409$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Iraq | 43c | 5,337$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.45 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…71c0backed Norway | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…da86backed Norway | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Norway | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Norway | 54c | 5,000$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.99 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Norway | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Iraq | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Iraq | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Iraq | 41c | 4,924$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.81 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Iraq | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.78 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Norway | 59c | 4,827$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.25 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed Norway | 59c | 4,711$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.59 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Iraq | 43c | 4,598$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Iraq | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway | 64c | 4,317$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Norway | 50c | 4,250$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.41 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Norway | 78c | 4,132$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.25 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Norway | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Iraq | 41c | 4,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Iraq | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Iraq | 41c | 4,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Norway | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.98 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Iraq | 40c | 3,792$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.54 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Norway | 52c | 3,747$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.19 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Iraq | 40c | 3,573$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.95 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed Iraq | 41c | 3,480$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.8 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Norway | 59c | 3,468$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.77 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Norway | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Norway | 61c | 3,438$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.89 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Norway | 59c | 3,258$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.03 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.