Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9fb29678dfaa8651b48264c7683598745d0538cace1809aa16dd903d0f8b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under | 5c | 20,000$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 4c | 9,051$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.78 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 7,178$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 9c | 4,876$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 1c | 4,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Under | 5c | 3,500$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 9c | 3,182$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.87 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 5c | 3,182$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 7c | 2,679$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Under | 6c | 1,466$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 9c | 1,425$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 5c | 1,392$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Under | 7c | 1,315$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 1,078$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 5c | 1,023$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…8089backed Under | 4c | 974.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed9…c813backed Under | 5c | 952.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c92…c17fbacked Under | 5c | 922.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 8c | 801.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 7c | 714.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…1cd2backed Under | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…d6d6backed Under | 5c | 692.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +263.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 5c | 622.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 22.9%22 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked Under | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 5c | 490.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under | 6c | 440.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 4c | 424$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Under | 5c | 411.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…12c6backed Under | 6c | 387.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…1b0abacked Under | 5c | 378.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Under | 5c | 310.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Under | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Under | 4c | 299.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…a015backed Under | 8c | 270$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 5c | 230$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce58…6321backed Under | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…c142backed Under | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 10c | 219.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.