Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05a996765c5b1df878fcc89348a3cb854bd19e956aa80923126fa5c985cb79a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 71c | 2,423$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.22 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 68c | 2,006$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.43 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 1,152$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,094$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.48 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 27c | 442.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…63a0backed Yes | 28c | 351.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 73c | 342.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d23…6c83backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 6c | 283.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked No | 72c | 272.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 20c | 233.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 185.19$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 167.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 165.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…4987backed Yes | 13c | 156.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 73c | 140.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +20.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…4647backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…ec18backed Yes | 22c | 116.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c9…657cbacked Yes | 32c | 114.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Yes | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 78c | 105.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 70c | 75.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 62c | 64.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 56.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 62c | 55.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…4fd1backed Yes | 31c | 44.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3223backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…e4c3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 76c | 32.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…b834backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked No | 78c | 29.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed No | 78c | 23.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 71c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.