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Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c31,886$6,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,844.274,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over77c11,234$8,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.992,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under17c10,201$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.1220333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c6,616$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab0…5ca4backed Under14c6,255$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012645.2%57 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under17c5,555$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3414325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under11c5,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under23c4,195$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.661723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,860$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under1c3,850$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.540240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under23c3,170$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.571,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over67c2,687$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.574447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under3c1,658$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.512,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c1,600$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under1c1,575$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7598134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under33c1,511$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.131,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over68c1,468$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.6517462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5711147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Over71c1,396$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.933458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under20c1,321$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.861,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over77c1,172$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.232,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c1,123$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…cdb2backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under18c999.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under17c999.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3364443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over75c934.07$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.521963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under18c899.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under18c843.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.81,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under30c814.22$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x630d…875abacked Under5c791.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.494311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under18c745.87$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9652744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Under18c743.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8244524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88e…cb19backed Over77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3511658.6%68 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Under18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005431.5%17 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under11c543.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under19c530$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.722639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12524539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f7…b205backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under18c434.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1984844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-54.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36f2…44aabacked Over70c425.4$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.625068%34 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under20c407.3$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9838745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under18c396.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.681,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under17c381.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.751,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c344.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.383,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under20c330.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5124542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce4…d6d6backed Under11c299.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332334.8%8 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+263.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over78c299$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7815932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5111535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Over70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7116863.1%106 W · 62 L+0.8wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under18c280.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.392038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c273.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.363,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Under19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019036.8%70 W · 120 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under19c262.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.151,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over72c251.38$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under18c249.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.161,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under17c220$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.482348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under18c220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under7c216.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1646445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under13c192.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under18c189.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.236838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over67c176.55$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec1…d7fabacked Over76c174.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under27c174$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9458942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under7c166$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.418548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9322324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Under18c140$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.225221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa6…eddabacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under10c124.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under18c111.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under18c101.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over72c100.84$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.248065%52 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258755.2%48 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3190840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde0d…b6cabacked Under19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194045%18 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21eb…e132backed Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233675%27 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Under33c97.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.258541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under24c96.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6247546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over80c94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9765835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under18c83.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1251315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a1…5782backed Under18c82.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.988337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95bd…7d0ebacked Over71c63.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.382050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over76c60.53$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.533658.3%21 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under19c60.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4628545.6%130 W · 155 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Under30c59.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26c8…93abbacked Under18c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Under20c55.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1415048%72 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over71c50.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6211170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa8…0d07backed Over69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.458655.8%48 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7813453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.