TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c11,563$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,946.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Under56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9511343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c4,259$2,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c3,248$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c2,925$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.972,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under65c2,177$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41614231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Under56c2,027$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.9810355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…a98cbacked Under57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005341.5%22 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over39c1,475$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.942,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under65c1,403$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.282,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Over43c1,150$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6505747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c1,124$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.562,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Under57c971.93$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5543256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under58c900.77$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7d3dbacked Under57c900$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5167445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c881.58$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.691,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Under58c863.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over40c670$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4024852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc7…f7debacked Under65c563.23$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5414939.6%59 W · 90 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…e713backed Over37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.544542.2%19 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f79…9290backed Under58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010541.9%44 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d2…4be6backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28510259.8%61 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Over44c477.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2712556.8%71 W · 54 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under56c443.66$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.454946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over45c435.89$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7410537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Over43c421.1$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.037337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c352.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over44c325.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.388652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda5…c82abacked Under57c314.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805056%28 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over43c302.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3310042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.911,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Over41c299.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9932629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under57c275$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d23…6c83backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Under58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under48c256.4$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.862,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under63c238.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c235.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.973,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f5…1f57backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2711950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8221…2217backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.275879.3%46 W · 12 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2720224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over45c222.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.449573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under66c221.63$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6721937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over40c221.53$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.81,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over44c215.91$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.915356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd00a…8126backed Under56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under59c210.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over36c209$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.761,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under57c202$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.147655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1304,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Over43c199.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9910855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…1d45backed Under56c179.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.797055.7%39 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over43c174.41$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.419535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c172.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.363,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over44c172.05$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3521240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c165.53$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Under58c155.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over36c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.51,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…5863backed Under58c139.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Over44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3613021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over40c121$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.471,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over48c114$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6612451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over37c113.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.332,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b86…ff5bbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.645556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.648734.5%30 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1110845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over40c111.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over41c106.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.881,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Under68c101.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9218340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711135.1%39 W · 72 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710133.7%34 W · 67 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5710562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over43c99.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.996124.6%15 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under56c99.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Over44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9113157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under57c90.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5632855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9818…68e1backed Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Over44c81.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8223544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…fb8fbacked Over40c77.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over41c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Under57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dff…bdfdbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1818417.4%32 W · 152 L+0.7wins0.00per pick17cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over44c60.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.734844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.282348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c59.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.443,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over43c57.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.931147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8211149.5%55 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1c…d798backed Over40c55.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.312356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c54.63$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…182dbacked Under57c54.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fd…b710backed Over43c52.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9533040%132 W · 198 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x432d…6597backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82aa…b973backed Under57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.