Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0587bb48c33df3c619011fd8fc92004e6cedcf5bd62c904411f59bcda7e7570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Under | 2c | 66,306$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 75c | 8,214$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.18 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 10c | 5,555$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.85 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Over | 11c | 4,995$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.27 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 4,900$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.62 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 3,527$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 17c | 3,228$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.77 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 4c | 2,956$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +327.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Under | 4c | 2,931$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7a20backed Over | 17c | 2,877$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +351%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 21c | 2,444$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.02 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Over | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.94 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Over | 17c | 2,352$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.08 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…2eadbacked Over | 18c | 1,641$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Under | 6c | 1,579$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 41c | 965.95$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 16c | 965.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Over | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…3296backed Over | 11c | 800$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked Over | 74c | 700$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +236%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 18c | 565.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.44 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 3c | 547$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.59 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 17c | 541.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.16 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 58c | 450$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 11c | 447.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.63 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 9c | 438.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.51 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 3c | 419.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Over | 67c | 385$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.64 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 33c | 353.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 24c | 340$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 25c | 300.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…2ccabacked Over | 17c | 294$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 59c | 249.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 18c | 247.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 16c | 190$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 11c | 168.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Over | 16c | 156.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…d5dabacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +81%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 26c | 136.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.31 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 11c | 120$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 113.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 73c | 111.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Over | 41c | 80.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 77c | 78.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 41c | 77.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 26c | 77.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 26c | 56.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 52.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 71c | 50.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 236 | 45.3%107 W · 129 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 69c | 32.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 59c | 27.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 73c | 18.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.