TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Under28c41,877$11,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,829.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c20,884$14,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,140.953,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under28c16,912$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.56929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c15,631$4,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,168.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over73c12,590$9,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.375669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over73c8,887$6,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.4919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over73c7,223$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.122,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under30c6,886$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.7520731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under27c6,798$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.082,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Over72c6,262$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.3919158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over80c5,629$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4964…4b77backed Over72c4,861$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over74c3,520$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.175952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over73c2,680$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.012,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under27c2,650$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.13,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c2,249$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.188,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5d…85dbbacked Over73c2,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c1,785$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c1,560$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.243,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Under27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over56c1,444$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.3612248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under27c1,444$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.8851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.862718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over72c1,266$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.528156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over73c1,255$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.967653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over74c1,134$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under5c1,069$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.842,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c997.03$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.952,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under30c842.71$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.124228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a2…58fdbacked Over73c833$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.911450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under27c830.37$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.21,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Over74c705.5$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4310359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over73c680.6$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7664443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under26c642.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.371,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over73c573.29$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over73c520.55$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5522355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under27c464.07$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.384751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over66c448.52$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over67c395.43$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.892,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over72c352.1$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.423,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under26c340.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.582,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under27c329.85$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.061,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under26c305.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.441,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Under27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under24c291.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.221,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over72c282.26$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0319545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Over74c270.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2816750.9%85 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under27c260.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5224541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under26c258.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3336838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5068…13a1backed Under18c255.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+48.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over70c242.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2747744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under27c241.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2588838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd0…5cc5backed Over73c240$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7710845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f6…3784backed Over73c204.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.186258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…5a0dbacked Over73c204$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.082846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2770…290bbacked Over74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.711251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.578842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over73c177.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a7…c881backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.858347%39 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Over73c143.95$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.871414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under35c142.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…5c13backed Over72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8911143.2%48 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993488.2%30 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+31%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1413847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147744.2%34 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef2…f254backed Over58c128.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.932832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c127.02$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0325455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6525…c12cbacked Over72c118.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.062254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over75c117.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.821,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed20…74a0backed Over73c117.3$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.672737%10 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over69c110.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4117568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec2…6d27backed Over73c110.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.114553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea77…82eebacked Over70c100.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.145641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under27c100.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.841,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2742640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…51d2backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613341.4%55 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over74c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9917162%106 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under27c96.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9718738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb54…17ecbacked Over74c96.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over74c94.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6747546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under27c94.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7870948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Under27c92.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.073745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over80c89.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Over73c88.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0214653.4%78 W · 68 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under26c88.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3582348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fd…8e1abacked Over73c87.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.671984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over72c83.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.473,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…a87ebacked Over73c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.613058.5%76 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Under27c73.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6512936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1137…cbffbacked Under29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4951045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58cf…6b6fbacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.578562.4%53 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.