TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,635,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,033,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,635,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,002 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under40c299,999$120,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,999.7922348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over60c233,331$139,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,332.442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under40c157,945$62,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,704.711,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c102,700$39,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,798.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under40c100,000$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over60c93,169$55,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,354.0833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over60c91,326$54,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,530.513571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over60c83,333$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,333.3319644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over61c78,970$47,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,138.024148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under36c56,454$20,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,131.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over67c50,000$33,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,507.9117840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under40c49,999$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.684040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under40c34,067$13,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,626.6915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over60c29,464$17,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,834.5277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over60c21,744$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,639.351,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under10c19,091$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00039933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c17,554$10,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,010.992,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed Under58c16,972$9,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,843.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.994344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over69c13,626$9,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.822,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over64c13,227$8,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.131,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Over61c13,115$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,114.753850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c12,079$7,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,070.768,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under39c10,641$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.911,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over41c10,119$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,017.0259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9920044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.976334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.9514829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c8,397$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3320448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over55c7,675$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.531,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under40c7,092$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.6329232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under59c6,885$4,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,062.1564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over60c6,667$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.6720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over60c6,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.958158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over60c5,833$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.21,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over61c5,731$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.799351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under37c5,071$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.7625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024226.4%64 W · 178 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9714445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1d…3d76backed Under40c4,966$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4964…4b77backed Over61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under39c4,454$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.8512343.1%53 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,356$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5621314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Under1c4,356$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5640240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under20c4,277$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over60c4,167$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.6712554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under39c4,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…5187backed Over61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.698032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under39c3,200$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.9847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c3,170$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.13,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Under41c3,142$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.311662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc57e…6d8dbacked Under47c3,141$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under38c3,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.9722342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over65c2,916$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.0734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under13c2,860$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.929233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under39c2,597$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.2571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efc…cce5backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010458.7%61 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over75c2,479$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.838960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3043…4143backed Under40c2,442$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.671711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-67.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Under41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9623363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under35c2,325$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.758254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over62c2,254$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.652540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over59c2,222$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.9914348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under36c2,122$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7646243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac9…1a8dbacked Under41c2,105$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.952055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over42c2,089$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.6251429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbe…776dbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8007222.2%16 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-40.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9920560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…b3c3backed Over60c1,982$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.983743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over61c1,967$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.2127236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8412…31ddbacked Over61c1,906$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.221450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over60c1,866$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.272552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over70c1,844$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.2230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over61c1,821$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.3124162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over75c1,779$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.7187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under39c1,762$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.329250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under40c1,735$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.028047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over42c1,690$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.2661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.814463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6714734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6711855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6710331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under53c1,666$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.012835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Over60c1,665$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66624626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over60c1,650$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under40c1,630$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.731,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad7…0265backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c1,590$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over59c1,566$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.8637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.