TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Norway (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iraqof Norway, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Norway19c75,416$14,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,286.2733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Norway19c17,587$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.062552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+140%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Norway18c13,229$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.178858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Norway19c11,450$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.852,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Norway17c11,300$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.9913533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Norway18c8,209$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Norway19c8,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9718837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Norway13c6,831$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.852,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Norway20c6,665$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Norway19c6,433$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.062623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Norway19c4,999$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8611443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Norway18c4,610$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.7610160.4%61 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Norway18c4,287$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Norway19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9910026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Iraq79c2,954$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.1810550.5%53 W · 52 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Norway19c2,928$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.161,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…6f57backed Norway19c2,774$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.014637%17 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Norway16c2,589$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.5438526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Norway13c2,502$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.892,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Norway22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Norway11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x98fd…4ea0backed Norway17c1,658$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Norway7c1,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Norway18c1,358$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.996637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Norway19c1,300$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2476235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Norway7c1,160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Norway18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc679…e427backed Norway19c1,042$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19890%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Norway18c1,017$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Norway19c973.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Norway5c873$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.872,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norway4c856.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Norway18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Norway18c777.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f82…efe0backed Norway18c679.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.42944.8%13 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Norway18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10819332.6%63 W · 130 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Norway18c599.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Norway19c584.21$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11113736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Norway18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Norway18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Norway19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07a9…4665backed Norway19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843b…41f4backed Norway19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Norway18c518.89$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.419317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Norway18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Norway19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Norway18c479.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8836838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0938…a052backed Norway20c462.3$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.461030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked Norway20c422.4$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.482236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Norway20c367$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.810836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Norway19c340$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6382348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Norway19c335.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.827722.1%17 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Iraq80c327$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Norway19c294.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Norway18c283.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1251032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Norway18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf1…fcbfbacked Norway18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508438.1%32 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Norway11c273.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0518056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Norway19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Norway19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Norway19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.418538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Norway18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014035.7%50 W · 90 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Norway23c213.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2438437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…f1f3backed Norway19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013122.1%29 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Norway20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Norway18c200.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.061,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Norway18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb2…f51fbacked Norway20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Norway20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Norway13c199.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2618028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f60…b0a4backed Norway18c173.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32329.4%3 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-75.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x504e…8da8backed Norway18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-65%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Norway15c161.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249825.5%25 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d4…9a1cbacked Norway18c161.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Norway18c161.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9913623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Norway19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3d…24e5backed Norway19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed Norway19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fd…01dabacked Norway12c156.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a8…6721backed Norway20c154.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.992152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Norway18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276516.9%11 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc70a…d065backed Norway18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278541.2%35 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Norway19c142.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279534.7%33 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Norway19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Norway16c130$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.812854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4353…f784backed Norway18c125.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.663221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Norway16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aff…2af1backed Norway18c123$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.146448.4%31 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Norway17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffa…00c8backed Norway19c115.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…3510backed Norway18c115.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Norway18c112.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.332,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9f67backed Norway18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204557.8%26 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f79…abbbbacked Norway18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-72.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c60…f6b3backed Norway18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Norway18c105.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1949426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked Norway19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206642.4%28 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb5…15bbbacked Norway19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Norway20c102.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.487219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Norway11c100.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.