TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$473,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Over6c349,837$21,340 inLost-$21,340.0633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over3c13,181$356 inLost-$355.8859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab7…756bbacked Over2c8,557$200 inLost-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over2c3,073$58 inLost-$58.298,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Over2c2,425$50 inLost-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over1c1,683$18 inLost-$17.7515225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over1c1,633$16 inLost-$16.2846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0d…e220backed Over2c1,215$25 inLost-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over2c1,018$20 inLost-$2012020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Over9c991.1$86 inLost-$85.992725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over2c928.92$20 inLost-$2022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc966…e142backed Over2c841.81$20 inLost-$203710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-72%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Over2c502.19$10 inLost-$105922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0832…4146backed Over2c500$10 inLost-$1014512.4%18 W · 127 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over2c443.06$10 inLost-$1043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0691…c0f5backed Over3c434.21$12 inLost-$121145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1d…c957backed Over5c200$11 inLost-$10.65922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over5c193.65$10 inLost-$1022746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df7…5ad0backed Over6c163.92$10 inLost-$10.161662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.