Fifa International · resolved market
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8425c25680e698fb9ed18d7f1eb9d7146e3ce8ff269226d064aa39fb6966773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 42c | 4,068$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.75 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…986fbacked Over | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 54c | 563.46$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…cb2dbacked Over | 58c | 246.55$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 11c | 245.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 46c | 159.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.41 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 46c | 75.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 30c | 65.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 64.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 40c | 61.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…8b2dbacked Over | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…ff89backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…615fbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 50c | 46.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc27…4c31backed Over | 58c | 46.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed Over | 58c | 44.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…d6a8backed Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +17.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…ded1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…432bbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 33.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…9997backed Under | 46c | 25.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e43…bfc4backed Over | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Over won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.