TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a88…ded1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kylian Mbappe score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$10.11
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$30.83
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$14.26
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$65.35
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Cbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.39
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.