TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over69c7,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under31c5,191$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.981,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.223951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Over69c2,904$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.481,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under31c2,340$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.411938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under31c2,222$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.8252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over65c1,467$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.282,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over69c1,427$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.52,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under31c1,220$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.2711943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over54c1,005$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.281,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under40c1,000$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.912,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Over66c956.93$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8432755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Under35c897$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.956460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over69c840$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.61,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over64c787.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.343158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Under32c765.33$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9110237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over69c750$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.57851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Over69c724.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.63875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Over70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2911854.2%64 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under45c507.13$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.681,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15524832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under36c498.83$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5828553%151 W · 134 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under34c427.69$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under35c390.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.072,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3210847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over70c281.93$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5849346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under45c273.81$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.122,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.474637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Under31c216.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6790537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over70c200.6$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.331,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Under31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622528%7 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5896149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Under31c170.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5344046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under28c165$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.943,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over69c152$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.122437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under31c145.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.221943.8%96 W · 123 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c142.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.861,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9412352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under32c114.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7223948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under43c113.61$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5147047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over62c109.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5982836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Over57c108.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7716253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Over70c98.2$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4615950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over61c80.4$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4140231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a88…ded1backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.433537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4311959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over69c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1518560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under24c58.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x04d9…fa77backed Over68c54.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.537139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under39c54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.796051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Over69c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+73.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Over58c52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Over67c50.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under33c50.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6622748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1724554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over70c47.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411450%57 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over80c41.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over60c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64060%24 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Over80c38.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over69c38.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under28c37.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over72c30.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38342.2%35 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.840143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0786…df1dbacked Under50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159057.8%52 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc37a…dc07backed Over69c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.921675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over69c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Over69c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d3…3ccfbacked Over70c26.63$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over65c23.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3315956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8df…1297backed Under46c23.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112450%12 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Under45c23.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.679857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8238…fcb9backed Over65c23.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29436.2%34 W · 60 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over71c23.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.667856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eac…df9cbacked Over70c22.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Over46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7425737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Over69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.26946.4%32 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x016a…1e22backed Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over68c19.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.327653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4569…832bbacked Over69c18.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.91361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…bd4cbacked Over70c18.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over70c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.48051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.